UK Gas Summary Report published on the Gas-Day of Tue 19th of November 2013

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UK Gas Summary Report published on the Gas-Day of Tue 19th of November 2013


Demand / Supply 

The UK gas market was undersupplied by 0.11 MCm, with actual demand on 18-Nov, at 266.24 MCm/day, recorded as 2% below the seasonal normal. The actual demand was less than the forecasted demand by 1.42 MCm, National Grid data showed. 

Today's forecast demand is 296 MCm/day, above the seasonal normal by 23 MCm. The physical flow into NTS is 299.59 MCm, at present. 

Tomorrow's demand forecast is 286 MCm/day. The Demand – Supply summary (in MCm/day) for last three days is as shown below – 


DatePhysical FlowChgActual DemandChgNet ImbalanceForecast DemandChg
18/11266.137.38266.2413.66-0.11267.6612.49
17/11258.757.57252.584.746.17255.177.91
16/11251.18-247.84-3.34247.26-
System Prices 

Average gas price closed at 66.82 p/Therm on Monday, 18-Nov, more than the closing price on 17-Nov by 00.36 p/Therm. The 7 day rolling average as on 18-Nov was calculated to be 68.53 p/Therm. Price summary (in p/Therm) for the last three days is as shown below – 


DateSMP BuyChgSAPChgSMP SellChg
18/1167.690.3766.820.3665.962.23
17/1167.32-2.1766.46-2.1763.73-3.25
16/1169.49-68.63-66.98-
Linepack 

UK Gas System opened as 'Long' on Tuesday with Net Imbalance being 14.34 MCm. The opening linepack was recorded at 347.12 MCm while the closing linepack was estimated to be 355.86 MCm, at 14:00 hours. The last three days' Linepack summary (in MCm) is shown below – 


DateOpening StatusNet ImbalanceOpening LinepackPCLP MinPCLP Max
18/11Long22.35348.60345.93374.34
17/11Long13.07345.38347.04364.05
16/11Long07.93341.34341.92350.48

UK Gas Summary Report published on the Gas-Day of Mon 18th November 2013

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UK Gas Summary Report published on the Gas-Day of Mon 18th November 2013


Demand / Supply 

The UK gas market was oversupplied by 6.17 MCm, with actual demand on 17-Nov, at 252.58 MCm/day, recorded as 2% below the seasonal normal. The actual demand was less than the forecasted demand by 2.59 MCm, National Grid data showed. 

Today's forecast demand is 270 MCm/day, below the seasonal normal by 1 MCm. The physical flow into NTS is 272.94 MCm, at present. 

Tomorrow's demand forecast is 294 MCm/day. The Demand – Supply summary (in MCm/day) for last three days is as shown below – 


DatePhysical FlowChgActual DemandChgNet ImbalanceForecast DemandChg
17/11258.757.57252.584.746.17255.177.91
16/11251.18-25.06247.84-23.333.34247.26-23.53
15/11276.24-271.17-5.07270.79-
System Prices 

Average gas price closed at 66.46 p/Therm on Sunday, 17-Nov, less than the closing price on 16-Nov by 02.17 p/Therm. The 7 day rolling average as on 17-Nov was calculated to be 68.31 p/Therm. Price summary (in p/Therm) for the last three days is as shown below – 


DateSMP BuyChgSAPChgSMP SellChg
17/1167.32-2.1766.46-2.1763.73-3.25
16/1169.49-1.4968.63-1.1466.98-1.93
15/1170.98-69.77-68.91-
Linepack 

UK Gas System opened as 'Long' on Monday with Net Imbalance being 22.35 MCm. The opening linepack was recorded at 348.6 MCm while the closing linepack was estimated to be 360.28 MCm, at 14:00 hours. The last three days' Linepack summary (in MCm) is shown below – 


DateOpening StatusNet ImbalanceOpening LinepackPCLP MinPCLP Max
17/11Long13.07345.38347.04364.05
16/11Long07.93341.34341.92350.48
15/11Long21.51337.81334.86359.32

UK Gas Summary Report published on the Gas-Day of 17th of November 2013

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UK Gas Summary Report published on the Gas-Day of 17th of November 2013



Demand / Supply 

The UK gas market was oversupplied by 3.34 MCm, with actual demand on 16-Nov, at 247.84 MCm/day, recorded as 2% below the seasonal normal. The actual demand was more than the forecasted demand by 0.58 MCm, National Grid data showed. 

Today's forecast demand is 255 MCm/day, below the seasonal normal by 2 MCm. The physical flow into NTS is 268.88 MCm, at present. 

Tomorrow's demand forecast is 274 MCm/day. The Demand – Supply summary (in MCm/day) for last three days is as shown below – 


DatePhysical FlowChgActual DemandChgNet ImbalanceForecast DemandChg
16/11251.18-25.06247.84-23.333.34247.26-23.53
15/11276.2413.58271.179.705.07270.797.14
14/11262.66-261.47-1.19263.65-
System Prices 

Average gas price closed at 68.63 p/Therm on Saturday, 16-Nov, less than the closing price on 15-Nov by 01.14 p/Therm. The 7 day rolling average as on 16-Nov was calculated to be 67.8 p/Therm. Price summary (in p/Therm) for the last three days is as shown below – 


DateSMP BuyChgSAPChgSMP SellChg
16/1169.49-1.4968.63-1.1466.98-1.93
15/1170.98-0.3069.77-0.4368.91-0.43
14/1171.28-70.20-69.34-
Linepack 

UK Gas System opened as 'Long' on Sunday with Net Imbalance being 13.07 MCm. The opening linepack was recorded at 345.38 MCm while the closing linepack was estimated to be 349.14 MCm, at 05:00 hours. The last three days' Linepack summary (in MCm) is shown below – 


DateOpening StatusNet ImbalanceOpening LinepackPCLP MinPCLP Max
16/11Long07.93341.34341.92350.48
15/11Long21.51337.81334.86359.32
14/11Long01.13337.94333.99344.49

UK Gas Summary Report published on the Gas-Day of 16th of November 2013

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UK Gas Summary Report published on the Gas-Day of 16th of November 2013



Demand / Supply 

The UK gas market was oversupplied by 5.07 MCm, with actual demand on 15-Nov, at 271.17 MCm/day, recorded as 5% above the seasonal normal. The actual demand was more than the forecasted demand by 0.38 MCm, National Grid data showed. 

Today's forecast demand is 248 MCm/day, below the seasonal normal by 5 MCm. The physical flow into NTS is 252.04 MCm, at present. 

Tomorrow's demand forecast is 249 MCm/day. The Demand – Supply summary (in MCm/day) for last three days is as shown below – 


DatePhysical FlowChgActual DemandChgNet ImbalanceForecast DemandChg
15/11276.2413.58271.179.705.07270.797.14
14/11262.660.14261.472.821.19263.653.02
13/11262.52-258.65-3.87260.63-
System Prices 

Average gas price closed at 69.77 p/Therm on Friday, 15-Nov, less than the closing price on 14-Nov by 00.43 p/Therm. The 7 day rolling average as on 16-Nov was calculated to be 67.8 p/Therm. Price summary (in p/Therm) for the last three days is as shown below – 


DateSMP BuyChgSAPChgSMP SellChg
15/1170.98-0.3069.77-0.4368.91-0.43
14/1171.280.4070.200.5169.340.51
13/1170.88-69.69-68.83-
Linepack 

UK Gas System opened as 'Long' on Saturday with Net Imbalance being 7.93 MCm. The opening linepack was recorded at 341.34 MCm while the closing linepack was estimated to be 344.04 MCm, at 05:00 hours. The last three days' Linepack summary (in MCm) is shown below – 


DateOpening StatusNet ImbalanceOpening LinepackPCLP MinPCLP Max
15/11Long21.51337.81334.86359.32
14/11Long01.13337.94333.99344.49
13/11Long17.86337.55328.26355.41

UK Gas Summary Report published on the Gas-Day of 15th of November 2013

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UK Gas Summary Report published on the Gas-Day of 15th of November 2013



Demand / Supply 

The UK gas market was oversupplied by 1.19 MCm, with actual demand on 14-Nov, at 261.47 MCm/day, recorded as 1% below the seasonal normal. The actual demand was less than the forecasted demand by 2.18 MCm, National Grid data showed. 

Today's forecast demand is 272 MCm/day, above the seasonal normal by 13 MCm. The physical flow into NTS is 287.58 MCm, at present. 

Tomorrow's demand forecast is 252 MCm/day. The Demand – Supply summary (in MCm/day) for last three days is as shown below – 


DatePhysical FlowChgActual DemandChgNet ImbalanceForecast DemandChg
14/11262.660.14261.472.821.19263.653.02
13/11262.5226.20258.6524.123.87260.6326.60
12/11236.32-234.53-1.79234.03-
System Prices 

Average gas price closed at 70.20 p/Therm on Thursday, 14-Nov, more than the closing price on 13-Nov by 00.51 p/Therm. The 7 day rolling average as on 15-Nov was calculated to be 67.43 p/Therm. Price summary (in p/Therm) for the last three days is as shown below – 


DateSMP BuyChgSAPChgSMP SellChg
14/1171.280.4070.200.5169.340.51
13/1170.880.7069.690.5968.830.59
12/1170.18-69.10-68.24-
Linepack 

UK Gas System opened as 'Long' on Friday with Net Imbalance being 21.51 MCm. The opening linepack was recorded at 337.81 MCm while the closing linepack was estimated to be 341.88 MCm, at 05:00 hours. The last three days' Linepack summary (in MCm) is shown below – 


DateOpening StatusNet ImbalanceOpening LinepackPCLP MinPCLP Max
14/11Long01.13337.94333.99344.49
13/11Long17.86337.55328.26355.41
12/11Short-25.19336.67311.14338.32

UK Gas Summary Report published on the Gas-Day of 14th of November 2013

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UK Gas Summary Report published on the Gas-Day of 14th of November 2013


Demand / Supply 

The UK gas market was oversupplied by 3.87 MCm, with actual demand on 13-Nov, at 258.65 MCm/day, recorded as 1% below the seasonal normal. The actual demand was less than the forecasted demand by 1.98 MCm, National Grid data showed. 

Today's forecast demand is 263 MCm/day, same as the seasonal normal. The physical flow into NTS is 264.86 MCm, at present. 

Tomorrow's demand forecast is 266 MCm/day. The Demand – Supply summary (in MCm/day) for last three days is as shown below – 


DatePhysical FlowChgActual DemandChgNet ImbalanceForecast DemandChg
13/11262.5226.20258.6524.123.87260.6326.60
12/11236.32-15.03234.53-15.901.79234.03-18.40
11/11251.35-250.43-0.92252.43-
System Prices 

Average gas price closed at 69.69 p/Therm on Wednesday, 13-Nov, more than the closing price on 12-Nov by 00.59 p/Therm. The 7 day rolling average as on 14-Nov was calculated to be 66.45 p/Therm. Price summary (in p/Therm) for the last three days is as shown below – 


DateSMP BuyChgSAPChgSMP SellChg
13/1170.880.7069.690.5968.830.59
12/1170.182.2569.103.2368.243.23
11/1167.93-65.87-65.01-
Linepack 

UK Gas System opened as 'Long' on Thursday with Net Imbalance being 1.13 MCm. The opening linepack was recorded at 337.94 MCm while the closing linepack was estimated to be 337.29 MCm, at 05:00 hours. The last three days' Linepack summary (in MCm) is shown below – 


DateOpening StatusNet ImbalanceOpening LinepackPCLP MinPCLP Max
13/11Long17.86337.55328.26355.41
12/11Short-25.19336.67311.14338.32
11/11Long25.22339.69329.00366.62

UK Gas Summary Report published on the Gas-Day of 13th of November 2013

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UK Gas Summary Report published on the Gas-Day of 13th of November 2013



Demand / Supply 

The UK gas market was oversupplied by 1.79 MCm, with actual demand on 12-Nov, at 234.53 MCm/day, recorded as 9% below the seasonal normal. The actual demand was more than the forecasted demand by 0.5 MCm, National Grid data showed. 

Today's forecast demand is 262 MCm/day, above the seasonal normal by 1 MCm. The physical flow into NTS is 276.27 MCm, at present. 

Tomorrow's demand forecast is 256 MCm/day. The Demand – Supply summary (in MCm/day) for last three days is as shown below – 


DatePhysical FlowChgActual DemandChgNet ImbalanceForecast DemandChg
12/11236.32-15.03234.53-15.901.79234.03-18.40
11/11251.35-0.57250.43-1.160.92252.431.73
10/11251.92-251.59-0.33250.70-
System Prices 

Average gas price closed at 69.10 p/Therm on Tuesday, 12-Nov, more than the closing price on 11-Nov by 03.23 p/Therm. The 7 day rolling average as on 13-Nov was calculated to be 65.73 p/Therm. Price summary (in p/Therm) for the last three days is as shown below – 


DateSMP BuyChgSAPChgSMP SellChg
12/1170.182.2569.103.2368.243.23
11/1167.932.1865.870.9865.011.02
10/1165.75-64.89-63.99-
Linepack 

UK Gas System opened as 'Long' on Wednesday with Net Imbalance being 17.86 MCm. The opening linepack was recorded at 337.55 MCm while the closing linepack was estimated to be 337.93 MCm, at 05:00 hours. The last three days' Linepack summary (in MCm) is shown below – 


DateOpening StatusNet ImbalanceOpening LinepackPCLP MinPCLP Max
12/11Short-25.19336.67311.14338.32
11/11Long25.22339.69329.00366.62
10/11Long04.28339.86339.48356.24